Saturday, January 22, 2022

Yield, Crypto & Gold Market Outlook Jan 2022 | Ewpple

 

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Ewpple - Yield, Crypto & Gold Market Outlook Jan 2022

Yield Market
  • The Fed might end its QE program in Q1. 3 rate hikes are expected. 7% inflation is the highest in 39 years
  • Analysts prefer government and investment-grade corporate bonds with a maturity of <5 years
  • Data centers, infrastructure, and industrial REITs recovered the fastest
  • Past 1 year returns for AGG: -3.2%
  • Past 1 year returns for VNQ: +30%

Crypto Market
  • Deflationary BTC and ETH could benefit from Fed action
  • Loose monetary conditions and novel applications like DeFi, NFT, and crypto gaming trigger a demand surge
  • BTC & ETH holders & miners are storing their holdings in long-term cold storage
  • Past 1 year returns for BTC: +16%
  • Past 1 year returns for ETH: +130%

Gold Market
  • Gold is negatively impacted by rising government bond yields & tighter monetary policy
  • But, gold is also an inflation hedge
  • Analysts expect gold to range between US$1,700 and US$1,900
  • Past 1 year returns for GLD: -0.3%

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